evidence: red-team OptimizerV3 full session 2026-03-27 (re-run)

Replace ghost evidence from crashed 2026-03-26 session with real
adversarial coverage data. 7 strategies tested, all HELD. Per-attack
structured data with strategy, outcome, eth_extracted, floor_held_for_attack,
delta_bps, and insight fields populated from raw session output.

Fixes #1178

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
johba 2026-03-27 14:18:13 +00:00
parent b161faaee2
commit 562e662d31

View file

@ -1,68 +1,82 @@
{ {
"date": "2026-03-27", "date": "2026-03-27",
"candidate": "OptimizerV3", "candidate": "OptimizerV3",
"candidate_commit": "f96ca9ddb4f7cd7210ca47dbac755404ee93cdbe", "candidate_commit": "b161faaee239cf0435ec9e436ad1af217c394a13",
"optimizer_profile": "push3-default", "optimizer_profile": "push3-default",
"lm_eth_before": 999999999999999999998, "lm_eth_before": 999999999999999999998,
"lm_eth_after": 999999999999999999998, "lm_eth_after": 999999999999999999998,
"eth_extracted": 0, "eth_extracted": 0,
"floor_held": true, "floor_held": true,
"verdict": "floor_held", "verdict": "floor_held",
"strategies_tested": 7,
"duration_seconds": 2519,
"methodology": "bootstrap-light + adversarial Claude agent (claude -p --dangerously-skip-permissions), 7 strategies with snapshot-revert isolation. Raw session data from stream-json output.",
"attacks": [ "attacks": [
{ {
"strategy": "IL Crystallization \u2014 Large buy \u2192 recenter \u2192 sell back", "strategy": "Buy→Recenter→Sell (Classic IL Crystallization)",
"pattern": "buy \u2192 recenter_multi \u2192 sell", "pattern": "buy → recenter → sell",
"result": "HELD", "outcome": "HELD",
"delta_bps": 0, "eth_extracted": 0,
"insight": "" "floor_held_for_attack": true,
"delta_bps": 24,
"insight": "The 1% swap fee on both legs (~4 ETH total) exceeds the IL from repositioning a single anchor traversal. With AW=50 (anchorSpacing=3600 ticks), the anchor is wide and IL per tick is small. Fee income dominates decisively."
}, },
{ {
"strategy": "Multi-cycle oscillation \u2014 buy\u2192recenter\u2192sell\u2192recenter\u2192buy\u2192recenter\u2192sell. Each cycle, LM repositions", "strategy": "Parasitic LP + Fee Siphoning",
"pattern": "buy \u2192 recenter_multi \u2192 sell", "pattern": "buy → add_lp → buy → recenter → sell → recenter",
"result": "HELD", "outcome": "HELD",
"delta_bps": 0, "eth_extracted": 0,
"insight": "" "floor_held_for_attack": true,
"delta_bps": 1740,
"insight": "Parasitic LP captures some fees from swaps but doesn't extract ETH from LM. The massive buy (600 ETH total) put 600 ETH INTO the pool, and the LM captured ~6 ETH in fees. The sell couldn't push through the floor position (massive liquidity at [127400,127600])."
}, },
{ {
"strategy": "Parasitic LP \u2014 add competing liquidity in LM's anchor range, then oscillate price", "strategy": "Extreme Buy→Recenter→Sell (Maximum Price Push)",
"pattern": "add_lp", "pattern": "buy → recenter → sell",
"result": "HELD", "outcome": "HELD",
"delta_bps": 0, "eth_extracted": 0,
"insight": "" "floor_held_for_attack": true,
"delta_bps": 7338,
"insight": "1500 ETH buy pushed through anchor AND into discovery. After recenter, the floor at [122800,123000] with 75% of ETH created an impenetrable wall. With 103e24 KRK unsellable, the adversary lost ~734 ETH permanently."
}, },
{ {
"strategy": "Buy\u2192recenter\u2192sell\u2192recenter oscillation with proper gas limits, running many cycles to see if round", "strategy": "Multi-Cycle Small Ratchet",
"pattern": "buy \u2192 recenter_multi \u2192 sell", "pattern": "buy → recenter_multi → sell → recenter_multi",
"result": "HELD", "outcome": "HELD",
"delta_bps": 0, "eth_extracted": 0,
"insight": "" "floor_held_for_attack": true,
"delta_bps": 37,
"insight": "Multiple small cycles don't compound IL faster than fee income. Each buy adds ~0.5 ETH in fees to LM (1% of 50 ETH). The floor position consistently blocks sell pressure. The 1% fee acts as a friction ratchet that always benefits the LM."
}, },
{ {
"strategy": "Stake to switch optimizer to extreme mode, then exploit narrow anchor", "strategy": "Staking Manipulation + Optimizer Shift",
"pattern": "stake \u2192 buy \u2192 recenter \u2192 sell \u2192 unstake", "pattern": "buy → stake → recenter → sell",
"result": "HELD", "outcome": "HELD",
"delta_bps": 0, "eth_extracted": 0,
"insight": "" "floor_held_for_attack": true,
"delta_bps": 30783,
"insight": "Buying 3520 ETH for staking deposited massive ETH into the LM. Optimizer shift created tight anchor (AW=11, ~175 ETH) easy to push through, but floor (95% of ETH, 200 ticks wide, liq=2.04e26) was impenetrable. Fatal flaw: KRK needed for >91% staking can only come from the pool, depositing massive ETH."
}, },
{ {
"strategy": "Parasitic LP at the same ticks as LM positions \u2014 add my own concentrated liquidity overlapping wit", "strategy": "Large buy → recenter → large sell (IL crystallization)",
"pattern": "Parasitic LP at the same ticks as LM positions \u2014 add my ow", "pattern": "buy → recenter_multi → sell",
"result": "HELD", "outcome": "HELD",
"eth_extracted": 0,
"floor_held_for_attack": true,
"delta_bps": 0, "delta_bps": 0,
"insight": "" "insight": "Early iteration of Strategy 1. Subsumed by the classic IL crystallization attempt."
}, },
{ {
"strategy": "Simple IL Crystallization", "strategy": "Multi-cycle IL ratchet with parasitic LP",
"pattern": "Simple IL Crystallization", "pattern": "buy → add_lp → sell → recenter_multi",
"result": "HELD", "outcome": "HELD",
"eth_extracted": 0,
"floor_held_for_attack": true,
"delta_bps": 0, "delta_bps": 0,
"insight": "The 1% fee tier captures ~2 ETH from the 200 ETH round-trip (2 legs \u00d7 100 ETH \u00d7 1%)." "insight": "Early iteration of parasitic LP approach. KRK sell failed due to insufficient liquidity to push through floor. Subsumed by revised parasitic LP strategy."
} }
], ],
"attack_suite_count": 7, "attack_suite_count": 7,
"strategies_tested": 7, "summary": "Floor held under all 7 adversarial strategies. All reverted to clean baseline — no extraction vector found. The 1% fee moat, floor position defense (75-95% of LM ETH in 200 ticks), ETH-neutral recenter, directional VWAP defense, and the chicken-and-egg problem (KRK acquisition requires ETH deposit) provide layered defense.",
"duration_seconds": 3600,
"methodology": "bootstrap-light + adversarial Claude agent, 7 diverse strategies",
"summary": "Floor held under all 7 adversarial strategies. LM ETH unchanged (~1000 ETH). No extraction vector found. Strategies tested: IL crystallization, multi-cycle oscillation, parasitic LP, staking-mode exploit, and round-trip attacks.",
"exit_code": 0 "exit_code": 0
} }