diff --git a/services/ponder/tests/stats.test.ts b/services/ponder/tests/stats.test.ts
index 22009d5..4efa3dd 100644
--- a/services/ponder/tests/stats.test.ts
+++ b/services/ponder/tests/stats.test.ts
@@ -287,11 +287,20 @@ describe('updateHourlyData', () => {
 
     const dbMock = ctx as unknown as { db: { update: ReturnType<typeof vi.fn> } };
     const setArg = (dbMock.db.update as ReturnType<typeof vi.fn>).mock.results[0].value.set.mock.calls[0][0];
-    // mintedLastWeek and mintedLastDay should be positive
-    expect(setArg.mintedLastWeek).toBeGreaterThan(0n);
-    expect(setArg.mintedLastDay).toBeGreaterThan(0n);
-    expect(setArg.burnedLastWeek).toBeGreaterThan(0n);
-    expect(setArg.burnedLastDay).toBeGreaterThan(0n);
+    // After advancing 2 hours (new pointer=7), slots 6+7 are cleared (were already 0).
+    // Filled slots: i=2..49 from pointer=7 (48 slots × 10n minted / 5n burned).
+    // mintedLastDay: i<24 → i=2..23 = 22 slots × 10n = 220n
+    // mintedLastWeek: 48 × 10n = 480n
+    // mintNextHourProjected = mintedWeek / 7n = 480n / 7n = 68n (BigInt truncation)
+    // burnNextHourProjected = burnedWeek / 7n = 240n / 7n = 34n
+    expect(setArg.mintedLastWeek).toBe(480n);
+    expect(setArg.mintedLastDay).toBe(220n);
+    expect(setArg.burnedLastWeek).toBe(240n);
+    expect(setArg.burnedLastDay).toBe(110n);
+    expect(setArg.mintNextHourProjected).toBe(68n);
+    expect(setArg.burnNextHourProjected).toBe(34n);
+    expect(setArg.netSupplyChangeDay).toBe(110n);
+    expect(setArg.netSupplyChangeWeek).toBe(240n);
   });
 
   it('carries forward holderCount into new ring buffer slots', async () => {
@@ -333,9 +342,12 @@ describe('updateHourlyData', () => {
     const dbMock = ctx as unknown as { db: { update: ReturnType<typeof vi.fn> } };
     expect(dbMock.db.update).toHaveBeenCalled();
     const setArg = (dbMock.db.update as ReturnType<typeof vi.fn>).mock.results[0].value.set.mock.calls[0][0];
-    // Projections should be computed
-    expect(setArg.mintNextHourProjected).toBeDefined();
-    expect(setArg.burnNextHourProjected).toBeDefined();
+    // elapsed = 1800s (30 min); current minted = 100n, prev minted = 80n
+    // projectedTotal = (100n * 3600n) / 1800n = 200n
+    // medium = (80n + 200n) / 2n = 140n → mintProjection = 140n
+    // burn: current=0n, prev=0n → medium=0n → fallback: mintedWeek/7 = 0n
+    expect(setArg.mintNextHourProjected).toBe(140n);
+    expect(setArg.burnNextHourProjected).toBe(0n);
   });
 
   it('handles zero elapsedSeconds in projection (exact hour boundary)', async () => {
diff --git a/services/ponder/vitest.config.ts b/services/ponder/vitest.config.ts
index 7883db2..36c373c 100644
--- a/services/ponder/vitest.config.ts
+++ b/services/ponder/vitest.config.ts
@@ -14,6 +14,9 @@ export default defineConfig({
       reporter: ['text', 'lcov'],
       thresholds: {
         lines: 95,
+        statements: 95,
+        functions: 95,
+        branches: 80,
       },
     },
   },